VBD-MODE

Vector-borne disease modelling in Germany – preparing for contemporary and future risk

VBD-MODE aims to enhance modelling and prediction of vector-borne disease emergence and outbreak patterns in Germany and estimate current and future disease risk and burden across multiple pathogens with environment- and climate-sensitivity, in order to inform prevention and preparedness needs, and provide recommendations for cost-effective vaccination and surveillance strategies, and thereby strengthen public health and healthcare resilience in Germany. VBD-MODE consists of an interdisciplinary network that will; (i) develop and deploy state-of-the-art de-novo models in eco-epidemiology to investigate and validate short-term forecasts of climate-sensitive emerging disease threats, such as West Nile fever, tick-borne diseases, and Aedes-borne diseases, including dengue, over time and space in Germany; (ii) assess the scenario-based epidemiological threats posed by these diseases under near-current and future climate and land use changes across Germany; and  (iii) develop intervention models to explore the health and economic impact of different (non-)pharmaceutical interventions and surveillance strategies

Publications

None at present

Project details

Responsible persons

Veronika Jäger

André Karch

Project period

2026 - 2029

Cooperation partners

Heidelberg Planetary Health Hub

Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research (HZI)

Robert Koch Institute (RKI)

Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine (BNITM)

GERICS – Climate Service Center Germany

Funding

Federal Ministry for Research, Technology and Aeronautics (BMFTR)

Publications

None at present

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